Short answer

    NIST publishes the post-quantum algorithm standards and transition guidance that most organizations use to plan migration away from RSA and elliptic-curve cryptography. This page summarizes that guidance and how its timelines affect planning. NIST documents are the authority for algorithms and deadlines; check them directly before relying on dates. QCI-QS1 does not restate NIST deadlines; it governs how an organization evidences its own migration.

    In one sentence: NIST sets the post-quantum algorithms and transition timelines; organizations plan their migration against them.

    NIST IR 8547 · FIPS 203/204 · QCI-QS1

    Think Earlier.

    The quantum problem starts before the quantum computer arrives.

    Planning to NIST's PQC transition timeline: QCI's suggested four phases, 2025 to 2035.

    NIST IR 8547, still an initial public draft, proposes deprecating RSA-2048 after 2030 and disallowing quantum-vulnerable public-key algorithms after 2035. This page sets out a four-phase plan QCI suggests for meeting that timeline, mapped to QCI-QS1. The phases are QCI's planning suggestion, not a NIST publication.

    The dates that drive the plan.

    Aug 2024

    NIST finalizes PQC standards.

    FIPS 203 (ML-KEM), FIPS 204 (ML-DSA), FIPS 205 (SLH-DSA) published.

    After 2030

    Proposed: 112-bit algorithms deprecated.

    NIST IR 8547 initial public draft, Section 4.1: 112-bit quantum-vulnerable algorithms such as RSA-2048 would be deprecated. Not yet final.

    After 2035

    Proposed: quantum-vulnerable public-key algorithms disallowed.

    NIST IR 8547 initial public draft, Section 4.1. NSM-10 sets 2035 as the U.S. federal target. Sector regulators set their own expectations.

    A four-phase plan (QCI suggestion).

    Phase 12025 – 2026

    Discovery and governance.

    Stand up cryptographic inventory (CBOM/QASI), assign QRAF accountability, classify data by confidentiality lifetime, and produce a baseline Q-Risk Score. The joint CISA, NSA and NIST factsheet recommends that organizations begin by building a cryptographic inventory.

    Source: CISA/NSA/NIST, Quantum-Readiness: Migration to Post-Quantum Cryptography (August 21, 2023) · QCI-QS1 Clause 5.1

    Phase 22026 – 2028

    Vendor roadmaps and contracts.

    Require PQC roadmaps from every vendor with signing or encryption authority. Insert crypto-agility clauses into renewals. Begin pilot deployments of ML-KEM (FIPS 203) for key establishment behind feature flags. NIST IR 8547, still an initial public draft, proposes deprecating 112-bit quantum-vulnerable algorithms such as RSA-2048 after 2030 and disallowing all quantum-vulnerable public-key algorithms after 2035.

    Source: NIST IR 8547 ipd (November 2024), Section 4.1, Tables 2 and 4 · FIPS 203 · FIPS 204

    Phase 32028 – 2031

    Migration of customer-facing and identity surfaces.

    Roll out ML-DSA (FIPS 204) signing identities, certificate-chain refresh, hybrid TLS, and PQC for high-value customer authentication. This is where most institutions discover their machine-identity and workload-credential gaps; if your QASI inventory is not complete, this phase stalls.

    Source: FIPS 204 (August 2024) · NIST SP 800-208 (October 2020, stateful hash-based signatures) · QCI-QS1 Clause 4.6

    Phase 42031 – 2033

    Completion, attestation, and decommissioning.

    Decommission RSA-2048 and ECC-256 across all production surfaces. Issue executive attestation. Complete vendor compliance evidence. Reach the 81–100 band with all score gates passed and produce the Clause 8 governing-body insert. Under the draft timeline, quantum-vulnerable public-key algorithms would be disallowed after 2035.

    Source: NIST IR 8547 ipd, Section 4.1 (proposed disallowance after 2035) · QCI-QS1 Clauses 6.5 and 8

    The NIST-finalized algorithms you will be deploying.

    FIPS 203: ML-KEM

    Module-Lattice-based Key Encapsulation Mechanism. Replaces RSA and ECDH for TLS, VPN, and key exchange. Formerly known as CRYSTALS-Kyber.

    FIPS 204: ML-DSA

    Module-Lattice-based Digital Signature Algorithm. Replaces RSA and ECDSA for code signing, document signing, and certificate chains. Formerly CRYSTALS-Dilithium.

    FIPS 205: SLH-DSA

    Stateless Hash-based Digital Signature Algorithm. Backup signature scheme based on different mathematical assumptions, recommended for high-assurance signing.

    NIST PQC publications and their status

    Statuses checked on each NIST publication page on October 5, 2026. Check the linked page before relying on a status.

    NIST post-quantum publications, use and status
    IDNameUseStatus
    FIPS 203ML-KEM, Module-Lattice-Based Key-Encapsulation Mechanism StandardKey establishmentFinal, August 13, 2024
    FIPS 204ML-DSA, Module-Lattice-Based Digital Signature StandardSignaturesFinal, August 13, 2024 (potential-errata list posted July 31, 2026)
    FIPS 205SLH-DSA, Stateless Hash-Based Digital Signature StandardSignaturesFinal, August 13, 2024
    SP 800-208Recommendation for Stateful Hash-Based Signature Schemes (LMS, XMSS)Signatures, controlled usesFinal, October 2020
    SP 800-227Recommendations for Key-Encapsulation MechanismsKey establishment guidanceFinal, September 2025
    Falcon (FN-DSA)Signature algorithm selected for standardizationSignaturesSelected; standard not yet final
    HQCKey-encapsulation algorithm selected in the fourth round (NIST IR 8545)Key establishment (backup)Selected March 2025; standard not yet final
    NIST IR 8547Transition to Post-Quantum Cryptography StandardsTransition guidanceInitial public draft, November 12, 2024

    Final, selected and draft are different. Final FIPS can be used now; NIST says ML-KEM, ML-DSA and SLH-DSA "can and should be put into use now." Selected algorithms do not yet have a final standard. IR 8547 is a draft: its proposed dates for deprecating and removing quantum-vulnerable algorithms may change.

    No universal deadline. A NIST standard does not set a deadline for every organization. Deadlines come from the laws, regulations, contracts and policies that apply to you; record them in your applicability register (QCI-2.2-01). See how QCI-QS1 relates to regulation.

    How QCI's suggested phases map to QCI-QS1 governance.

    NIST specifies the algorithms and proposes the transition timeline. QCI-QS1 sets requirements for governing and evidencing the migration. The pairing below follows QCI's suggested phases; NIST does not define these phases.

    Phase 1: Discovery
    QCI-QS1 Clause 5: Inventory and visibility (QASI)
    Phase 2: Vendor planning
    QCI-QS1 Clause 7: Third-party oversight
    Phase 3: Migration execution
    QCI-QS1 Clauses 4.5–4.7 and 6: profiles, testing, score gates
    Phase 4: Completion and reporting
    QCI-QS1 Clause 8: Governing-body insert

    The draft dates are close enough to plan against now.

    A scored Q-Risk posture, a phased roadmap against the NIST timeline, and the evidence behind each recommendation, mapped to QCI-QS1.